Thursday, April 30, 2009

Cities Where Home Prices Could Fall More


With incomes falling and loans remaining hard to get, the best bargains are probably yet to come in some of the nation’s largest housing markets, predicts Forbes magazine.

To figure out which housing markets still haven’t hit bottom, Forbes calculated the spending power, unemployment, credit availability and housing stock over the last 27 years in the country’s 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas.

The projections determined how much each area’s home prices would have to change to bring that housing market into historical balance. Analysts said the employment rate is the great unknown. The more employment falls, the more likely home prices will follow.

Here are the 10 cities where Forbes believes prices are likely to continue to fall the most:

  1. Orlando
  2. Miami
  3. Jacksonville, Fla.
  4. Tampa
  5. Los Angeles
  6. Phoenix
  7. Las Vegas
  8. Oakland, Calif.
  9. San Diego
  10. New York


Source: Forbes, Matt Woolsey (04/17/2009)

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